Insights

Macro Insights Weekly - End of inflation scare?

23 September 2024
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  • Last week's 50bps rate cut by the US Federal Reserve marked the end of a concerted global effort to fight the post-pandemic inflation surge. Is inflation in the distant rearview mirror?  
  • Strikingly, bringing down the post-pandemic inflation surge did not entail a global recession.
  • Nor was it necessary to have a crash in asset prices or a collapse in confidence. 
  • We see a key factor being the quick softening of commodity prices. 
  • Strong supply side response and China's weak demand drove this.
  • We consider four key factors that bear watching in an otherwise benign price climate.

  

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