Insights

Macro Insights Weekly - Liberation Day 2.0: Weighing options

7 July 2025
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  • The US adminstration plans to annouce the tariff rates (and deals) this week, but will take effect on 1 Aug.
  • Trading partners have endured a busy few weeks of travelling the Asia-Washington corridor.
  • Three trade deals have been signed, with few common undercurrents. Finer details are still pending.
  • Asean's exports to the US have risen sharply in 2025 thus far, but at a modest pace to rest of the world.
  • We draw up a few possibilities.
  • On FX, while we remain negative on the USD in the longer term, it may be due for a modest correction or a consolidation.
  • US treasuries were sanguine about the passing of the One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBB). Risks remain.

 

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