Insights

Macro Insights Weekly - Economic scorecard for 2024

6 January 2025
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  • Global growth is slated to be 3.25% in 2024, similar to the outcome in 2023 or the forecast for 2025. We go beneath the surface to assess the economic performance through the lens of the Misery Index. 
  • The index is calculated by simply adding unemployment rate to the inflation rate. 
  • Strikingly, both the Eurozone and the US have seen their Misery Index improve sharply. 
  • Sharp decline in inflation accounts for this, even if the public seems to be oblivious.
  • In Asia, disinflation-driven improvement has been most pronounced in Singapore and Thailand. 
  • The Index is unlikely to improve much in 2025, with inflation bottoming and job gains slowing.

 

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