Insights

Macro Insights Weekly - Trump's world and Asia's playbook

11 November 2024
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  • Trump 2.0 comes with promises of a wider trade war, affecting not just China, but all countries who trade with the US. This need not be a zero-sum narrative at the expense of Asia. 
  • Trump's return is a headache for China, but this time anyone trading with the US is a target. 
  • Both China and the rest of Asia have a set of options to pursue. 
  • First, spread the cost of tariffs across various parts of the supply chain and end-consumer.
  • Two, find ways to take Chinese products to the US through third markets. 
  • Three, deepen regional integration and improve trade ties with the non-US world.
  • Asia has the wherewithal to deal with damaging trade war.  

 

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