Macro Insights Weekly: What will mark China's trough?
14 August 2023
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China’s cyclical soft patch keeps deepening, as underscored by a wide range of recent data spanning from retail sales to credit, prices to exports. We examine what is needed for a trough to form.
Post pandemic recovery has been underwhelming due to weak business and consumer confidence
Intersection of weak property prices and a mountain of debt in the sector is a major fault line
What’s needed?
decisive move to address local government debt
targeted measures to restructure property sector, with active private sector participation
easing of regulations on entrepreneurial activities